TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 2:10 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ying Zhang and Xi Luo in the W35 Shenyang, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ying Zhang' if Ying Zhang advances against Xi Luo. This market will resolve to 'Xi Luo' if Xi Luo advances against Ying Zhang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ying Zhang and Xi Luo in the W35 Shenyang, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ying Zhang' if Ying Zhang advances against Xi Luo. This market will resolve to 'Xi Luo' if Xi Luo advances against Ying Zhang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information or changing circumstances than sportsbooks, as the price adjusts with each trade. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares of a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood. This differs from fixed-odds betting, where the odds are set in advance.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Shenyang match between Ying Zhang and Xi Luo. The platform will verify the winner against established sports data sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in their training regimens could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or venue changes might also have an impact. Furthermore, significant betting activity from well-informed traders could signal a change in expectations. Monitoring these signals and analyzing their potential effect on the match outcome is key to understanding how this market might evolve before it resolves.