TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 12:22 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ying Zhang and Guyu Xu in the W35 Shenyang, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ying Zhang' if Ying Zhang advances against Guyu Xu. This market will resolve to 'Guyu Xu' if Guyu Xu advances against Ying Zhang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ying Zhang and Guyu Xu in the W35 Shenyang, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ying Zhang' if Ying Zhang advances against Guyu Xu. This market will resolve to 'Guyu Xu' if Guyu Xu advances against Ying Zhang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs about the most likely outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in analytical approaches. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than traditional odds-making, especially when new developments emerge that impact the perceived probabilities of each fighter winning.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the market price adjusts to reflect the aggregated sentiment. Higher demand for shares in a specific outcome will drive its price up, indicating increased confidence in that result, while selling pressure will lower the price. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date predictions.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ying Zhang vs Guyu Xu match, as declared by the relevant sporting authority. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and fairness. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be eligible to receive payouts based on the final market prices at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before the Sep 20, 2026 resolution. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or tactical adjustments could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about fighter weight classes or potential rule changes could also play a role. Public statements from analysts or commentators offering strong opinions on the matchup could also impact trading activity. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either fighter winning has the potential to move this market.