TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 3:15 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yidi Yang and Polina Leykina in the W35 Shenyang, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yidi Yang' if Yidi Yang advances against Polina Leykina. This market will resolve to 'Polina Leykina' if Polina Leykina advances against Yidi Yang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yidi Yang and Polina Leykina in the W35 Shenyang, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yidi Yang' if Yidi Yang advances against Polina Leykina. This market will resolve to 'Polina Leykina' if Polina Leykina advances against Yidi Yang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. This market, like others, can incorporate information and insights from a wider range of sources than sportsbooks, potentially leading to differing probabilities. Sportsbooks typically set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market benefits from the wisdom of the crowd. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there's significant public interest or debate surrounding an event, as traders weigh various factors when assessing the likely result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the Yidi Yang vs Polina Leykina match.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Yidi Yang vs Polina Leykina match as reported by the governing body for the W35 Shenyang tournament. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. It’s important to note that the market’s resolution is dependent on a clear and definitive result being publicly available.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in strategy for either Yidi Yang or Polina Leykina could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event might also impact the perceived likelihood of either player winning. Furthermore, major shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by social media discussion or expert analysis, could also cause the market to move. Monitoring these signals can provide valuable insights into potential price fluctuations.