TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 4:21 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sijia Wei and Zhuoxuan Bai in the W35 Shenyang, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sijia Wei' if Sijia Wei advances against Zhuoxuan Bai. This market will resolve to 'Zhuoxuan Bai' if Zhuoxuan Bai advances against Sijia Wei. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sijia Wei and Zhuoxuan Bai in the W35 Shenyang, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sijia Wei' if Sijia Wei advances against Zhuoxuan Bai. This market will resolve to 'Zhuoxuan Bai' if Zhuoxuan Bai advances against Sijia Wei. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates opinions from individuals with varying levels of knowledge. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of both markets. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information, potentially leading to odds movements that diverge from sportsbook offerings.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the market price converges towards what the collective believes is the true probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuations are driven by supply and demand, influenced by news, analysis, and overall market sentiment surrounding the Sijia Wei vs Zhuoxuan Bai match.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sijia Wei vs Zhuoxuan Bai match, as reported by a trusted source for sports results. The platform will determine the winning outcome based on this publicly available information, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before Sep 24, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could all impact perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements related to the match, such as a change in venue or a key player being ruled out, would likely cause significant shifts in the market. Public sentiment, reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role in driving trading volume and price movements in this market.