TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 1:39 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Shiyu Ye and Jialan Cai in the W35 Shenyang, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shiyu Ye' if Shiyu Ye advances against Jialan Cai. This market will resolve to 'Jialan Cai' if Jialan Cai advances against Shiyu Ye. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Shiyu Ye and Jialan Cai in the W35 Shenyang, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shiyu Ye' if Shiyu Ye advances against Jialan Cai. This market will resolve to 'Jialan Cai' if Jialan Cai advances against Shiyu Ye. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and factors in a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly, making it a valuable tool for understanding the perceived likelihood of each player winning.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Shiyu Ye vs Jialan Cai match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the winner, and payouts will be distributed to those who correctly predicted the outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be settled and their positions finalized.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in expert analysis could cause traders to reassess their predictions. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader tournament upsets, might also impact sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in prevailing opinion, leading to price movements in this market.