TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 1:59 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Shiyu Ye and Asylzhan Arystanbekova in the W35 Shenyang, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shiyu Ye' if Shiyu Ye advances against Asylzhan Arystanbekova. This market will resolve to 'Asylzhan Arystanbekova' if Asylzhan Arystanbekova advances against Shiyu Ye. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Shiyu Ye and Asylzhan Arystanbekova in the W35 Shenyang, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shiyu Ye' if Shiyu Ye advances against Asylzhan Arystanbekova. This market will resolve to 'Asylzhan Arystanbekova' if Asylzhan Arystanbekova advances against Shiyu Ye. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially early in the market's life cycle, as prediction markets can incorporate information and adjust rapidly to new developments. Comparing the odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. Conversely, selling pressure drives the price down. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on the platform, providing a real-time assessment of the likely result of the Shenyang tennis match.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Shiyu Ye versus Asylzhan Arystanbekova match in Shenyang. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to determine the winning player. Traders who hold shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The overall goal is to accurately reflect the real-world outcome of the tennis match.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in the world of tennis, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments will be crucial for understanding potential movements in this market before it resolves.