TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 5:36 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ruohan Yang and Yingqun Sun in the W35 Shenyang, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ruohan Yang' if Ruohan Yang advances against Yingqun Sun. This market will resolve to 'Yingqun Sun' if Yingqun Sun advances against Ruohan Yang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ruohan Yang and Yingqun Sun in the W35 Shenyang, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ruohan Yang' if Ruohan Yang advances against Yingqun Sun. This market will resolve to 'Yingqun Sun' if Yingqun Sun advances against Ruohan Yang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the players’ strengths. If there’s a significant difference, it may present an opportunity for arbitrage, where traders can profit by exploiting the price difference between the two.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the match’s potential results. The current implied probability of a particular outcome is determined by the share price relative to 1.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Shenyang match between Ruohan Yang and Yingqun Sun, as reported by the governing body for the tournament. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome and distribute funds to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in strategy could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about playing conditions or the availability of key support staff could also have an impact. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, reflected in analysis from sports commentators or betting previews, might lead to increased trading activity and price adjustments. Monitoring these signals can help traders refine their predictions and potentially capitalize on market movements.