TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 1:40 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Polina Leykina and Yingqun Sun in the W35 Shenyang, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Polina Leykina' if Polina Leykina advances against Yingqun Sun. This market will resolve to 'Yingqun Sun' if Yingqun Sun advances against Polina Leykina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Polina Leykina and Yingqun Sun in the W35 Shenyang, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 10:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Polina Leykina' if Polina Leykina advances against Yingqun Sun. This market will resolve to 'Yingqun Sun' if Yingqun Sun advances against Polina Leykina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often include a 'vig' or commission built into their odds, while prediction markets aim to represent the true probability of an event occurring as assessed by the crowd. This means that, theoretically, prediction markets can be more accurate, especially when there’s significant public interest. However, sportsbook odds reflect the opinions of professional oddsmakers, and can sometimes incorporate information not yet widely available to the public. It’s useful to compare both to form your own informed opinion about this market.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, reflecting the collective wisdom of the crowd. The current top outcome on Polymarket has a chance percentage of unknown, with a volume of unknown.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Shenyang tennis match between Polina Leykina and Yingqun Sun. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning player. The market will then settle, and shares will be redeemed based on the final outcome. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process for this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding the players’ form, such as injury reports or recent match results, could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions in Shenyang on the day of the match could also play a role, potentially favoring one player over the other. Furthermore, major shifts in public sentiment or analysis from tennis experts could impact trading activity and therefore the price of shares in this market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price movements.