TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 12:21 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Miho Kuramochi and Priska Madelyn Nugroho in the W35 Shenyang, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Miho Kuramochi' if Miho Kuramochi advances against Priska Madelyn Nugroho. This market will resolve to 'Priska Madelyn Nugroho' if Priska Madelyn Nugroho advances against Miho Kuramochi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Miho Kuramochi and Priska Madelyn Nugroho in the W35 Shenyang, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Miho Kuramochi' if Miho Kuramochi advances against Priska Madelyn Nugroho. This market will resolve to 'Priska Madelyn Nugroho' if Priska Madelyn Nugroho advances against Miho Kuramochi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their books and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on individuals wagering their own capital. As more information becomes available and bettors trade, the odds on Polymarket can converge or diverge from sportsbook odds depending on differing analyses and perceived value. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast outcomes as the event approaches, particularly when a significant amount of volume is traded.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased for a particular outcome, the higher its price rises, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, creating a forward-looking assessment of the match’s potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Shenyang match between Miho Kuramochi and Priska Madelyn Nugroho. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to determine the winner, and the market will settle accordingly. Traders should monitor official announcements to understand the final result and the market’s settlement.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about strategy or team composition could also lead to price movements. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed bettors can quickly alter the market’s direction. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading patterns on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential shifts before Sep 22, 2026.