TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 12:47 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between JiaYi Wang and Ruien Zhang in the W35 Shenyang, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'JiaYi Wang' if JiaYi Wang advances against Ruien Zhang. This market will resolve to 'Ruien Zhang' if Ruien Zhang advances against JiaYi Wang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between JiaYi Wang and Ruien Zhang in the W35 Shenyang, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'JiaYi Wang' if JiaYi Wang advances against Ruien Zhang. This market will resolve to 'Ruien Zhang' if Ruien Zhang advances against JiaYi Wang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to express their own probabilities based on available information. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on player form, potential injuries, or even weather conditions. If a significant difference exists, it might present an arbitrage opportunity for informed traders. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently than sportsbooks as new information emerges, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards a consensus view. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders on Polymarket, making it a dynamic and responsive indicator of expectations for the JiaYi Wang vs Ruien Zhang match. The market’s efficiency is driven by the incentive for traders to accurately predict the outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the JiaYi Wang vs Ruien Zhang match, as declared by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The process aims to be transparent and objective.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Sep 24, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected weather conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Additionally, updates on player form, recent match results, or even social media discussions can impact the perceived probabilities. A strong performance by either JiaYi Wang or Ruien Zhang in a preceding match would likely cause the market to adjust accordingly. Unexpected announcements or developments related to the tournament itself could also trigger price movements.