TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 1:53 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Chengyiyi Yuan and Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA in the W35 Shenyang, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Chengyiyi Yuan' if Chengyiyi Yuan advances against Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA. This market will resolve to 'Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA' if Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA advances against Chengyiyi Yuan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Chengyiyi Yuan and Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA in the W35 Shenyang, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Chengyiyi Yuan' if Chengyiyi Yuan advances against Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA. This market will resolve to 'Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA' if Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA advances against Chengyiyi Yuan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced a player’s chances, the odds on Polymarket may diverge. It's common to see differences, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. The market's liquidity, indicated by the trading volume, also influences price discovery and how quickly the market reacts to new information.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Shenyang tennis match between Chengyiyi Yuan and Daria KHOMUTSIANSKAYA. The platform will verify the result against widely available sources to determine which player won and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the resolution process.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, might also cause movement. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by influential traders could create short-term price fluctuations as others react to their positions.