TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Completed Match
- Polymarket
Completed Match - Polymarket
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 23, 2026
Closed: Sep 23, 9:57 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Liel Marlies Rothensteiner and Mara Guth in the W35 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Liel Marlies Rothensteiner' if Liel Marlies Rothensteiner advances against Mara Guth. This market will resolve to 'Mara Guth' if Mara Guth advances against Liel Marlies Rothensteiner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Liel Marlies Rothensteiner and Mara Guth in the W35 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Liel Marlies Rothensteiner' if Liel Marlies Rothensteiner advances against Mara Guth. This market will resolve to 'Mara Guth' if Mara Guth advances against Liel Marlies Rothensteiner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while prediction markets aim to reflect the true probability of an outcome as assessed by traders. This can lead to discrepancies, with prediction markets sometimes offering more favorable odds, especially when there is disagreement between the crowd and the sportsbook. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different information and approaches to risk assessment for this market.
This market resolves around Sep 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Liel Marlies Rothensteiner and Mara Guth, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the market settlement. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions accordingly.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players could also impact confidence levels. Furthermore, significant trading activity, driven by new information or strategic positioning, can cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing trading volume on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.