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24H VOL:
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OPEN INTEREST:
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404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
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39%
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Kalshi:
61%
Completed Match
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Completed Match - Polymarket
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 23, 2026
Closed: Sep 23, 6:53 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Daria Zelinskaya and Esther Adeshina in the W35 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daria Zelinskaya' if Daria Zelinskaya advances against Esther Adeshina. This market will resolve to 'Esther Adeshina' if Esther Adeshina advances against Daria Zelinskaya. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daria Zelinskaya and Esther Adeshina in the W35 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daria Zelinskaya' if Daria Zelinskaya advances against Esther Adeshina. This market will resolve to 'Esther Adeshina' if Esther Adeshina advances against Daria Zelinskaya. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what is readily available to sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as the event approaches. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply the varying motivations of participants in each venue. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than traditional sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, adjusting in real-time to new information and changing sentiment about the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match.
This market resolves around Sep 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Daria Zelinskaya and Esther Adeshina, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The outcome will be determined by which player wins the match, with no consideration for factors such as withdrawals or incomplete matches unless specifically outlined in the platform's terms of service.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. News regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could all significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts impacting the match schedule, could also cause movement. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions accordingly. Any developments that alter the perceived probability of either player winning will likely impact the price of shares in this market.