TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 5:41 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ayline Esina Samardzic and Ksenia Meshcheryakova in the W35 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ayline Esina Samardzic' if Ayline Esina Samardzic advances against Ksenia Meshcheryakova. This market will resolve to 'Ksenia Meshcheryakova' if Ksenia Meshcheryakova advances against Ayline Esina Samardzic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ayline Esina Samardzic and Ksenia Meshcheryakova in the W35 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ayline Esina Samardzic' if Ayline Esina Samardzic advances against Ksenia Meshcheryakova. This market will resolve to 'Ksenia Meshcheryakova' if Ksenia Meshcheryakova advances against Ayline Esina Samardzic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can sometimes differ from sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and perspectives. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights into public perception and potential value bets, but remember that each represents a different form of forecasting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability distribution. As more traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the price of shares representing that outcome increases. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability of a specific outcome is reflected in the share price, allowing traders to express their views and profit if their predictions prove accurate.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Ayline Esina Samardzic and Ksenia Meshcheryakova, as reported by a trusted source for professional tennis results. The platform will determine the winning outcome based on the official match results, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts impacting the match schedule, could also cause fluctuations. Additionally, large trades on Polymarket by informed traders could create short-term price swings, reflecting new information or strategic positioning ahead of the match. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential shifts in the market.