TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Completed Match
- Polymarket
Completed Match - Polymarket
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 24, 2026
Closed: Sep 24, 9:56 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Anastasia Lizunova and Sandra Samir in the W35 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anastasia Lizunova' if Anastasia Lizunova advances against Sandra Samir. This market will resolve to 'Sandra Samir' if Sandra Samir advances against Anastasia Lizunova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Anastasia Lizunova and Sandra Samir in the W35 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anastasia Lizunova' if Anastasia Lizunova advances against Sandra Samir. This market will resolve to 'Sandra Samir' if Sandra Samir advances against Anastasia Lizunova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a margin for profit, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. If a significant discrepancy emerges between this market and sportsbook odds, arbitrage opportunities may arise for traders who can capitalize on the difference. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is guaranteed to be perfectly accurate.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment of who will win the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the market price adjusts to reflect the collective intelligence of the participants. The current implied probability of a particular outcome is derived directly from the share price.
This market resolves around Oct 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The winner of the match will determine the outcome of this market, and the platform will verify the result against publicly available data. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 1, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader shifts in tennis rankings, could also cause the market to move. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket could create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade this market effectively.