TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Completed Match
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Completed Match - Polymarket
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 23, 2026
Closed: Sep 23, 12:21 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Viola Turini and Mia Horvit in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Viola Turini' if Viola Turini advances against Mia Horvit. This market will resolve to 'Mia Horvit' if Mia Horvit advances against Viola Turini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Viola Turini and Mia Horvit in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Viola Turini' if Viola Turini advances against Mia Horvit. This market will resolve to 'Mia Horvit' if Mia Horvit advances against Viola Turini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome in the Turini vs Horvit match, the prediction market odds will adjust accordingly, potentially offering more favorable value than traditional sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Turini vs Horvit match. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, providing a dynamic assessment of the event’s potential results. The current price indicates the collective expectation of the market regarding the match’s winner.
This market resolves around Sep 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Turini vs Horvit match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Sep 30, 2026 resolution date. Any news regarding player form, injuries to either Viola Turini or Mia Horvit, or changes in playing conditions (weather, court surface) could all significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or even social media commentary impacting perceived player confidence could also move the market. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a shift in sentiment regarding the Turini vs Horvit match.