TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 6:09 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Viola Turini and Marta Lombardini in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Viola Turini' if Viola Turini advances against Marta Lombardini. This market will resolve to 'Marta Lombardini' if Marta Lombardini advances against Viola Turini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Viola Turini and Marta Lombardini in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Viola Turini' if Viola Turini advances against Marta Lombardini. This market will resolve to 'Marta Lombardini' if Marta Lombardini advances against Viola Turini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, they may drive the price on Polymarket in that direction. This can lead to discrepancies, offering opportunities for arbitrage or simply a different perspective on the event's probability.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Turini vs Lombardini match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each player winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's potential results. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Turini vs Lombardini match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which outcome resolves as correct. Traders who held shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 25, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in public perception could all cause the odds to move. Unexpected announcements about player form, coaching changes, or even weather forecasts impacting the match could also play a role. Major upsets in other related tournaments or strong performances by either player in preceding matches could also shift trader sentiment and impact the price on Polymarket.