TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 10:03 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sofia Shapatava and Laura Boehner in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Shapatava' if Sofia Shapatava advances against Laura Boehner. This market will resolve to 'Laura Boehner' if Laura Boehner advances against Sofia Shapatava. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sofia Shapatava and Laura Boehner in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Shapatava' if Sofia Shapatava advances against Laura Boehner. This market will resolve to 'Laura Boehner' if Laura Boehner advances against Sofia Shapatava. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on the aggregated predictions of individuals. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially early in the market's lifecycle, as prediction markets can incorporate information and insights that sportsbooks may not immediately consider. Examining these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a specific outcome, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the collective assessment of all participants, making it a dynamic and real-time indicator of expectations for the Shapatava vs Boehner match.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula match between Sofia Shapatava and Laura Boehner. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will receive a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 23, 2026. Any news regarding the players' form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or player matchups could also impact trading activity. Public sentiment and media coverage leading up to the match can also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions accordingly. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential market movements.