TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 11:58 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Noemi Maines and Barbara Dessolis in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Noemi Maines' if Noemi Maines advances against Barbara Dessolis. This market will resolve to 'Barbara Dessolis' if Barbara Dessolis advances against Noemi Maines. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Noemi Maines and Barbara Dessolis in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Noemi Maines' if Noemi Maines advances against Barbara Dessolis. This market will resolve to 'Barbara Dessolis' if Barbara Dessolis advances against Noemi Maines. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual outcome of the Maines vs Dessolis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event. The current top outcome, as indicated by share price, is the one that traders collectively believe is most likely to occur in the Maines vs Dessolis match.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula match between Noemi Maines and Barbara Dessolis. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who held shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Sep 29, 2026. Any news regarding player form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions for either Noemi Maines or Barbara Dessolis could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the tournament itself, such as rule changes or venue adjustments, could also cause shifts in the market. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could also drive price fluctuations as they act on new information or insights regarding the Maines vs Dessolis match.