TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula: Marta Lombardini vs Valentina Steiner
- Polymarket
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula: Marta Lombardini vs Valentina Steiner - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 19, 2026
Closed: Sep 17, 7:59 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Marta Lombardini and Valentina Steiner in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marta Lombardini' if Marta Lombardini advances against Valentina Steiner. This market will resolve to 'Valentina Steiner' if Valentina Steiner advances against Marta Lombardini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marta Lombardini and Valentina Steiner in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marta Lombardini' if Marta Lombardini advances against Valentina Steiner. This market will resolve to 'Valentina Steiner' if Valentina Steiner advances against Marta Lombardini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Comparing prediction market odds to sportsbook odds reveals how collective intelligence differs from traditional oddsmaking. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market reflects the wisdom of the crowd. Often, prediction markets can offer more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available and traders update their assessments. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, biases, or the influence of large bets. Analyzing these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, although sportsbooks may offer different types of wagers not available in this market.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Lombardini vs Steiner match. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market believes is the true probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand; there are no external factors influencing the pricing mechanism on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula match between Marta Lombardini and Valentina Steiner. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources, such as official tournament results and sports news outlets. The outcome of this market will reflect the player who is officially declared the winner of the match according to these sources.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather affecting an outdoor court), or updates on player form could influence trading activity. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either player could also shift sentiment. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in market expectations. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Sep 24, 2026.