TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 5:29 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Laura Boehner and Alisa Oktiabreva in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Laura Boehner' if Laura Boehner advances against Alisa Oktiabreva. This market will resolve to 'Alisa Oktiabreva' if Alisa Oktiabreva advances against Laura Boehner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Laura Boehner and Alisa Oktiabreva in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Laura Boehner' if Laura Boehner advances against Alisa Oktiabreva. This market will resolve to 'Alisa Oktiabreva' if Alisa Oktiabreva advances against Laura Boehner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of both markets. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise when forming your own opinion on the likely result of the Santa Margherita di Pula tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The current implied probability of a specific outcome is derived directly from the share price on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Santa Margherita di Pula tennis match, specifically which player wins. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and accurate settlement. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Santa Margherita di Pula tennis match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader shifts in tennis rankings, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by informed individuals could create momentum and influence the market's direction, reflecting a change in perceived probabilities.