TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 5:22 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kolie Allen and Ilary Pistola in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kolie Allen' if Kolie Allen advances against Ilary Pistola. This market will resolve to 'Ilary Pistola' if Ilary Pistola advances against Kolie Allen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kolie Allen and Ilary Pistola in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kolie Allen' if Kolie Allen advances against Ilary Pistola. This market will resolve to 'Ilary Pistola' if Ilary Pistola advances against Kolie Allen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe an outcome is more likely than a sportsbook suggests, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money has been traded on the market, and these differences can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders can buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, constantly updating as new information becomes available and opinions shift regarding the Allen vs Pistola match.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula match between Kolie Allen and Ilary Pistola. The platform will verify the result against widely available sources to determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding the physical condition of either Kolie Allen or Ilary Pistola, such as injuries or illness, would likely cause significant movement. Updates on their training regimens or strategic approaches could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, broader news related to the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula tournament or changes in public perception of each player’s chances could all contribute to shifts in the market price. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament could also indirectly affect this market.