TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 10:06 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Julia Stusek and Camilla Gennaro in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Julia Stusek' if Julia Stusek advances against Camilla Gennaro. This market will resolve to 'Camilla Gennaro' if Camilla Gennaro advances against Julia Stusek. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Julia Stusek and Camilla Gennaro in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Julia Stusek' if Julia Stusek advances against Camilla Gennaro. This market will resolve to 'Camilla Gennaro' if Camilla Gennaro advances against Julia Stusek. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. This can be due to the wisdom of the crowd effect, where the collective predictions of many individuals can be more accurate than those of a few experts. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome, potentially leading to odds that reflect a broader range of information and insights. Discrepancies can arise from differing risk assessments and information availability.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of shares is determined by supply and demand, and the market efficiently aggregates the collective intelligence of its participants. This dynamic pricing allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Stusek vs Gennaro match will be used to determine the winning share. Resolution will depend on official match results published by governing tennis bodies. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout.
Several factors could influence the price action of this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament could also impact perceptions of player momentum. Furthermore, analysis from tennis experts and public opinion expressed on social media can contribute to price fluctuations. Major shifts in betting volume or the emergence of new information are likely to cause noticeable movements in this market before Sep 23, 2026.