TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 8:14 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ilary Pistola and Oceane Babel in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ilary Pistola' if Ilary Pistola advances against Oceane Babel. This market will resolve to 'Oceane Babel' if Oceane Babel advances against Ilary Pistola. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ilary Pistola and Oceane Babel in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ilary Pistola' if Ilary Pistola advances against Oceane Babel. This market will resolve to 'Oceane Babel' if Oceane Babel advances against Ilary Pistola. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, which can differ from sportsbook odds influenced by factors like house bias and public betting patterns. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their independent beliefs about the likely outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, analytical approaches, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. Observing these differences can be insightful for those seeking a comprehensive view of the event's probabilities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and express their views, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing means the market is constantly updating its forecast based on new information and changing sentiment surrounding the Pistola vs Babel match.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Pistola vs Babel match as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will then verify the outcome against these sources to determine which shares will pay out. Traders should monitor official announcements to stay informed about the resolution process and ensure a smooth settlement of the market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in preceding matches for either Ilary Pistola or Oceane Babel could cause shifts in the odds. Public sentiment, as reflected in media coverage and social media discussions, can also influence trading activity. Additionally, any official announcements regarding match conditions or venue changes could introduce new information that traders will incorporate into their predictions, leading to price adjustments in this market.