TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 9:16 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sophie Greiner and Matilde Paoletti in the W35 Reus, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sophie Greiner' if Sophie Greiner advances against Matilde Paoletti. This market will resolve to 'Matilde Paoletti' if Matilde Paoletti advances against Sophie Greiner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sophie Greiner and Matilde Paoletti in the W35 Reus, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sophie Greiner' if Sophie Greiner advances against Matilde Paoletti. This market will resolve to 'Matilde Paoletti' if Matilde Paoletti advances against Sophie Greiner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their beliefs with real capital. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk appetites. Generally, prediction markets are considered highly efficient and can sometimes outperform sportsbook odds, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. It's worth comparing the implied probabilities to see where the differences lie.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sophie Greiner versus Matilde Paoletti match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches to understand how the outcome will be verified.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Sep 15, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in coaching strategies could significantly shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader shifts in tennis rankings, could also impact trading volume and prices. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role, although the market ultimately responds to traders putting capital behind their beliefs. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential market movements.