TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 6:58 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Meritxell Teixido Garcia and Carlota Vila Salles in the W35 Reus, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Meritxell Teixido Garcia' if Meritxell Teixido Garcia advances against Carlota Vila Salles. This market will resolve to 'Carlota Vila Salles' if Carlota Vila Salles advances against Meritxell Teixido Garcia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Meritxell Teixido Garcia and Carlota Vila Salles in the W35 Reus, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Meritxell Teixido Garcia' if Meritxell Teixido Garcia advances against Carlota Vila Salles. This market will resolve to 'Carlota Vila Salles' if Carlota Vila Salles advances against Meritxell Teixido Garcia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly assess the probability of an outcome. This can lead to differences in implied probabilities, especially when there’s significant public interest or disagreement about the likely winner. It's common to see this market diverge from sportsbook lines as new information emerges or as different groups of bettors weigh in on the potential result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd participating in this market, offering a unique perspective compared to traditional odds-making.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the match between Meritxell Teixido Garcia and Carlota Vila Salles. The platform will look to established tennis authorities to verify the winner and finalize the market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result of the Reus tennis match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players could also impact confidence levels. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large influx of volume on one outcome – could cause a rapid price adjustment. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning has the potential to move this market.