TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 7:04 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matilde Paoletti and Diletta Cherubini in the W35 Reus, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matilde Paoletti' if Matilde Paoletti advances against Diletta Cherubini. This market will resolve to 'Diletta Cherubini' if Diletta Cherubini advances against Matilde Paoletti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matilde Paoletti and Diletta Cherubini in the W35 Reus, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matilde Paoletti' if Matilde Paoletti advances against Diletta Cherubini. This market will resolve to 'Diletta Cherubini' if Diletta Cherubini advances against Matilde Paoletti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs. If sportsbook odds significantly diverge from those seen here, it could indicate disagreement about the true probability of a particular outcome. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are formed through different mechanisms and may appeal to different types of bettors.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the market price adjusts to reflect the aggregated sentiment. The current implied probability of a particular outcome is determined by the share price relative to 100; a share priced at 60 represents a 60% implied probability. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and changing perceptions.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Reus match between Matilde Paoletti and Diletta Cherubini. The platform will verify the result against publicly available information to determine which player is declared the winner. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process, reflecting the actual outcome of the sporting event.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 17, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or pre-match analysis from reputable sources could also impact the market. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket itself can create short-term price movements, as the market reacts to changes in demand. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the predicted outcome of the Paoletti vs Cherubini match.