TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 8:22 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucia Cortez Llorca and Ariana Geerlings in the W35 Reus, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucia Cortez Llorca' if Lucia Cortez Llorca advances against Ariana Geerlings. This market will resolve to 'Ariana Geerlings' if Ariana Geerlings advances against Lucia Cortez Llorca. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucia Cortez Llorca and Ariana Geerlings in the W35 Reus, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucia Cortez Llorca' if Lucia Cortez Llorca advances against Ariana Geerlings. This market will resolve to 'Ariana Geerlings' if Ariana Geerlings advances against Lucia Cortez Llorca. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows participants to freely trade based on their own analysis and information. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced a player’s chances, the odds on Polymarket will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts closer to the event date.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each player winning. As more shares are traded, the price of each share fluctuates, reflecting the collective probability assigned by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if more people buy shares of a particular player, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of victory. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Reus tennis match between Lucia Cortez Llorca and Ariana Geerlings. The player who wins the match, as determined by official tournament organizers, will be declared the winner of this market. Any potential disputes will be resolved using publicly available information from the official tournament results.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could all shift expectations. Significant betting activity from informed traders could also cause price movements. Unexpected announcements related to either player’s preparation or form leading up to the match are likely to be key catalysts. Publicly available match previews and analysis from tennis experts may also impact trading behavior on Polymarket.