TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 9:28 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Laia Gavalda Cruz and Iva Primorac Pavicic in the W35 Reus, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Laia Gavalda Cruz' if Laia Gavalda Cruz advances against Iva Primorac Pavicic. This market will resolve to 'Iva Primorac Pavicic' if Iva Primorac Pavicic advances against Laia Gavalda Cruz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Laia Gavalda Cruz and Iva Primorac Pavicic in the W35 Reus, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Laia Gavalda Cruz' if Laia Gavalda Cruz advances against Iva Primorac Pavicic. This market will resolve to 'Iva Primorac Pavicic' if Iva Primorac Pavicic advances against Laia Gavalda Cruz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders’ willingness to buy or sell, representing their collective belief about the outcome. If there's a significant discrepancy between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may emerge, as traders attempt to profit from the difference. However, it’s important to remember that prediction markets are forward-looking and can incorporate information faster than sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. Currently, the market's price indicates the collective expectation of the event's result, and the volume traded shows the level of interest and conviction among traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Laia Gavalda Cruz vs Iva Primorac Pavicic match, as reported by a recognized sporting authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches to stay informed about the event’s progress.
Several signals could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in public perception could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the players’ form or strategies could also lead to price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants can create short-term volatility. Monitoring news sources and observing trading volume on Polymarket will provide insights into potential catalysts that could shift the odds.