TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 3:21 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ariana Geerlings and Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur in the W35 Reus, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ariana Geerlings' if Ariana Geerlings advances against Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur. This market will resolve to 'Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur' if Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur advances against Ariana Geerlings. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ariana Geerlings and Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur in the W35 Reus, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ariana Geerlings' if Ariana Geerlings advances against Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur. This market will resolve to 'Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur' if Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur advances against Ariana Geerlings. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals wagering their own capital. As a result, you may find discrepancies between the probabilities implied by this market and those offered by sportsbooks. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information and potentially offer more accurate forecasts, though this isn’t always the case.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Reus tennis match between Ariana Geerlings and Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available match results, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning player will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing player will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Sep 15, 2026. Any news regarding player form, such as injury reports or recent match results, could significantly shift the probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament location could also impact player performance and, consequently, market prices. Furthermore, major upsets in other matches within the tournament could influence overall perceptions of player capabilities and affect trading volume. Any significant public endorsements or analysis could also contribute to shifts in this market.