TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 12:13 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Carmelle Vial and Justine Bretnacher in the W35 Reims, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carmelle Vial' if Carmelle Vial advances against Justine Bretnacher. This market will resolve to 'Justine Bretnacher' if Justine Bretnacher advances against Carmelle Vial. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Carmelle Vial and Justine Bretnacher in the W35 Reims, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carmelle Vial' if Carmelle Vial advances against Justine Bretnacher. This market will resolve to 'Justine Bretnacher' if Justine Bretnacher advances against Carmelle Vial. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides and ensure profitability. This market, however, allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome, leading to odds that can diverge from sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than traditional sources.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price of shares will fluctuate, reflecting the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated and responsive to changing conditions surrounding the Vial vs Bretnacher match.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Reims match between Carmelle Vial and Justine Bretnacher, as declared by the governing tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result.
Several signals could influence this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries to either Carmelle Vial or Justine Bretnacher, or changes in playing conditions (e.g., court surface) could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event, or even public endorsements from tennis analysts, might also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large volume trades on Polymarket itself can create momentum and influence price movements, reflecting shifts in market sentiment about the likely winner of the match.