TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 6:03 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuno Kitahara and Ikumi Yamazaki in the W35 Kyoto, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuno Kitahara' if Yuno Kitahara advances against Ikumi Yamazaki. This market will resolve to 'Ikumi Yamazaki' if Ikumi Yamazaki advances against Yuno Kitahara. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuno Kitahara and Ikumi Yamazaki in the W35 Kyoto, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuno Kitahara' if Yuno Kitahara advances against Ikumi Yamazaki. This market will resolve to 'Ikumi Yamazaki' if Ikumi Yamazaki advances against Yuno Kitahara. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' that can differ from traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the likely outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public perception diverges from expert analysis. However, as the event approaches, the odds on Polymarket may converge with sportsbook odds as more information becomes available and traders refine their predictions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more people buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the traders participating in this market, and it’s a key feature of how Polymarket operates.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Kyoto match between Yuno Kitahara and Ikumi Yamazaki. The platform will rely on publicly available and authoritative sources to determine the winner or if the match ends in a draw. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized and the outcome is officially recorded.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding the condition of either Yuno Kitahara or Ikumi Yamazaki, such as injuries or illness, would likely cause significant movement. Updates on their recent performance in other matches, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions on the day of the event could also impact trading activity. Public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators could also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions accordingly.