TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 11:44 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Rinko Matsuda and Hiromi Abe in the W35 Kyoto, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rinko Matsuda' if Rinko Matsuda advances against Hiromi Abe. This market will resolve to 'Hiromi Abe' if Hiromi Abe advances against Rinko Matsuda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rinko Matsuda and Hiromi Abe in the W35 Kyoto, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rinko Matsuda' if Rinko Matsuda advances against Hiromi Abe. This market will resolve to 'Hiromi Abe' if Hiromi Abe advances against Rinko Matsuda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, reflecting their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market dynamically adjusts based on real-time trading activity. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, reflecting differing opinions and information weighting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market collectively believes is the true probability. This creates a dynamic pricing system that reflects the wisdom of the crowd. The current price indicates the market’s assessment of the likelihood of a particular fighter winning the match, and changes based on new information and trading activity.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Kyoto Rinko Matsuda vs Hiromi Abe match, as declared by the event organizers. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning fighter. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event’s progress and official announcements leading up to this date.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the fighters’ physical condition, training progress, or potential injuries would likely cause significant price movement. Official announcements from the event organizers, such as changes to the match schedule or rules, could also impact the market. Public statements from analysts or experts offering their predictions might also sway traders’ opinions. Finally, large trading volumes from influential participants could create momentum and drive price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals is crucial for understanding potential shifts in the market’s outlook.