TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 1:20 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Natsuki Yoshimoto and Tiana Tian Deng in the W35 Kyoto, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Natsuki Yoshimoto' if Natsuki Yoshimoto advances against Tiana Tian Deng. This market will resolve to 'Tiana Tian Deng' if Tiana Tian Deng advances against Natsuki Yoshimoto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Natsuki Yoshimoto and Tiana Tian Deng in the W35 Kyoto, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Natsuki Yoshimoto' if Natsuki Yoshimoto advances against Tiana Tian Deng. This market will resolve to 'Tiana Tian Deng' if Tiana Tian Deng advances against Natsuki Yoshimoto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome in the Yoshimoto vs Deng match, the prediction market odds may diverge. It’s useful to compare the implied probabilities from both sources to identify potential discrepancies and inform your own assessment.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Yoshimoto vs Deng match. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome being correct. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently incorporates new information as it becomes available, leading to dynamic price adjustments based on collective sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Yoshimoto vs Deng match is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result declared by the event organizers. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to shareholders accordingly. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available information to ensure a fair and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market before Sep 24, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in training regimens, or even weather conditions could all impact traders’ perceptions of the likely outcome of the Yoshimoto vs Deng match. Unexpected announcements from either athlete or their teams, or shifts in public sentiment reflected in social media or other sources, could also lead to significant price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals can help you understand the evolving dynamics of this market.