TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 5:21 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Natsuho Arakawa and Karen Tsutsumi in the W35 Kyoto, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Natsuho Arakawa' if Natsuho Arakawa advances against Karen Tsutsumi. This market will resolve to 'Karen Tsutsumi' if Karen Tsutsumi advances against Natsuho Arakawa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Natsuho Arakawa and Karen Tsutsumi in the W35 Kyoto, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Natsuho Arakawa' if Natsuho Arakawa advances against Karen Tsutsumi. This market will resolve to 'Karen Tsutsumi' if Karen Tsutsumi advances against Natsuho Arakawa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment. The market's efficiency depends on the number of participants and the information they incorporate into their trading decisions. Currently, the volume indicates a strong level of conviction among traders.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Kyoto match between Natsuho Arakawa and Karen Tsutsumi. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders should monitor official announcements and results to stay informed about the progress towards resolution and the final determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Sep 21, 2026. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in their strategies could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or even pre-match interviews revealing insights into their approach could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, broader trends in the W35 Kyoto tournament or shifts in public sentiment regarding each player’s chances could all contribute to price movements.