TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 7:36 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nagi Hanatani and Honori Koyama in the W35 Kyoto, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nagi Hanatani' if Nagi Hanatani advances against Honori Koyama. This market will resolve to 'Honori Koyama' if Honori Koyama advances against Nagi Hanatani. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nagi Hanatani and Honori Koyama in the W35 Kyoto, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nagi Hanatani' if Nagi Hanatani advances against Honori Koyama. This market will resolve to 'Honori Koyama' if Honori Koyama advances against Nagi Hanatani. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market incorporates a wider range of information and opinions. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the odds can be useful for identifying potential value or discrepancies in the perceived probabilities of each outcome, but remember that both represent different forms of forecasting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability of a particular outcome is determined by the share price, which fluctuates based on supply and demand within the market. This dynamic pricing allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing opinions.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Kyoto match between Nagi Hanatani and Honori Koyama. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning player. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome of the match. This ensures a transparent and verifiable resolution process for all participants.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected announcements related to the W35 Kyoto event could significantly impact the odds. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role. Furthermore, large trades or strategic activity from influential traders on Polymarket could cause noticeable shifts in the market price. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to resolution.