TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 11:10 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nagi Hanatani and Amelia Rajecki in the W35 Kyoto, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nagi Hanatani' if Nagi Hanatani advances against Amelia Rajecki. This market will resolve to 'Amelia Rajecki' if Amelia Rajecki advances against Nagi Hanatani. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nagi Hanatani and Amelia Rajecki in the W35 Kyoto, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nagi Hanatani' if Nagi Hanatani advances against Amelia Rajecki. This market will resolve to 'Amelia Rajecki' if Amelia Rajecki advances against Nagi Hanatani. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often incorporating information not immediately available to sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to odds that diverge from traditional sources. Discrepancies can arise from differing information access, varying levels of expertise among traders, and the incentive structure of prediction markets, where participants profit from accurate forecasts. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Kyoto match between Nagi Hanatani and Amelia Rajecki. The platform will verify the result against established sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official announcements and reporting to stay informed about the progress of the event and the timing of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in match conditions, or significant performance updates for either Nagi Hanatani or Amelia Rajecki could cause shifts in trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the tournament itself, such as rule changes or venue alterations, might also impact the market. Furthermore, major upsets in other matches within the W35 Kyoto event could indirectly affect perceptions of player form and overall competitive landscape, leading to price adjustments in this market.