TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 10:36 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kamonwan Yodpetch and Jia-Jing Lu in the W35 Kyoto, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kamonwan Yodpetch' if Kamonwan Yodpetch advances against Jia-Jing Lu. This market will resolve to 'Jia-Jing Lu' if Jia-Jing Lu advances against Kamonwan Yodpetch. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kamonwan Yodpetch and Jia-Jing Lu in the W35 Kyoto, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kamonwan Yodpetch' if Kamonwan Yodpetch advances against Jia-Jing Lu. This market will resolve to 'Jia-Jing Lu' if Jia-Jing Lu advances against Kamonwan Yodpetch. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If there’s a significant difference, it might indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular player winning. Discrepancies can also arise from differing levels of information available to market participants versus sportsbook analysts.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand for these shares; no external factors directly influence the pricing on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Kyoto tennis match between Kamonwan Yodpetch and Jia-Jing Lu. The platform will verify the winner based on official tournament results and reporting, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. News regarding player injuries, changes in weather conditions affecting gameplay, or even significant shifts in public perception based on pre-match analysis could all cause movement. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament for either player could also impact confidence and trading activity. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either Kamonwan Yodpetch or Jia-Jing Lu winning is likely to be reflected in the market price.