TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 11:13 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Hiromi Abe and Mio Mushika in the W35 Kyoto, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hiromi Abe' if Hiromi Abe advances against Mio Mushika. This market will resolve to 'Mio Mushika' if Mio Mushika advances against Hiromi Abe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Hiromi Abe and Mio Mushika in the W35 Kyoto, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hiromi Abe' if Hiromi Abe advances against Mio Mushika. This market will resolve to 'Mio Mushika' if Mio Mushika advances against Hiromi Abe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing or overvaluing a particular outcome, the odds on Polymarket may diverge. This can occur due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in the event’s potential results. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially for events with complex or subjective elements.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event’s likelihood. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Hiromi Abe vs Mio Mushika match as reported by the governing sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to shareholders accordingly. Traders should monitor official announcements for the definitive result that will trigger market settlement.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding the physical condition of either Hiromi Abe or Mio Mushika, such as injuries or illness, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in publicly available analysis of their recent performance or strategic approaches could also move the market. Unexpected announcements about the match’s location or scheduling could introduce uncertainty and affect trader sentiment. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of their relative chances of winning could cause price fluctuations.