TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 4:13 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Hiromi Abe and Chia Yi Tsao in the W35 Kyoto, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hiromi Abe' if Hiromi Abe advances against Chia Yi Tsao. This market will resolve to 'Chia Yi Tsao' if Chia Yi Tsao advances against Hiromi Abe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Hiromi Abe and Chia Yi Tsao in the W35 Kyoto, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hiromi Abe' if Hiromi Abe advances against Chia Yi Tsao. This market will resolve to 'Chia Yi Tsao' if Chia Yi Tsao advances against Hiromi Abe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individual predictions and trading activity. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Analyzing these differences can reveal insights into public perception and potential value bets. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities and are subject to change as new data becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood. This contrasts with fixed-odds betting where the odds are set in advance and do not change based on subsequent trading activity.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Kyoto match between Hiromi Abe and Chia Yi Tsao. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to determine the winner of the match, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders should monitor official tournament results and news sources as the resolution date approaches to stay informed about the event’s progress and potential impact on the market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Sep 22, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or notable performance statistics from either Hiromi Abe or Chia Yi Tsao, could also drive price movements. Furthermore, large trading volumes from informed participants might indicate a shift in sentiment or access to non-public information. Monitoring tennis news, social media discussions, and the trading volume on Polymarket will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts.