TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 1:47 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Hiroko Kuwata and Tiana Tian Deng in the W35 Kyoto, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hiroko Kuwata' if Hiroko Kuwata advances against Tiana Tian Deng. This market will resolve to 'Tiana Tian Deng' if Tiana Tian Deng advances against Hiroko Kuwata. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Hiroko Kuwata and Tiana Tian Deng in the W35 Kyoto, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hiroko Kuwata' if Hiroko Kuwata advances against Tiana Tian Deng. This market will resolve to 'Tiana Tian Deng' if Tiana Tian Deng advances against Hiroko Kuwata. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to a more accurate assessment of probabilities. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It's common to see this market adjust rapidly as new information becomes available, potentially exceeding the responsiveness of standard sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the W35 Kyoto tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate for each player winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The higher the price of shares representing a particular player, the greater the market’s implied probability of that player winning. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of expectations as new information emerges.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Kyoto tennis match between Hiroko Kuwata and Tiana Tian Deng, as declared by the tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which player won the match and settle the market accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather forecasts impacting the match schedule could also cause movement. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a change in expectations, potentially driving the price of shares in either direction. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding how this market might evolve.