TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 11:01 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Eri Shimizu and Jiangxue HAN in the W35 Kyoto, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eri Shimizu' if Eri Shimizu advances against Jiangxue HAN. This market will resolve to 'Jiangxue HAN' if Jiangxue HAN advances against Eri Shimizu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Eri Shimizu and Jiangxue HAN in the W35 Kyoto, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eri Shimizu' if Eri Shimizu advances against Jiangxue HAN. This market will resolve to 'Jiangxue HAN' if Jiangxue HAN advances against Eri Shimizu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or unexpected developments.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a constant product market maker model, similar to automated market makers in decentralized finance, to ensure there’s always a counterparty for trades. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly adapt to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Kyoto match between Eri Shimizu and Jiangxue HAN. The platform will rely on publicly available sources to determine the winner, or if the match ends in a draw. The final result will be used to determine which shares pay out, and at what rate, based on the odds at the time of resolution. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or changes in their training regimens could shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or venue changes might also have an impact. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role, though to a lesser extent. Major upsets in other related matches could also indirectly affect the perceived probabilities, as traders adjust their assessments of the overall competitive landscape.