TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 12:21 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Eri Shimizu and Jia-Jing Lu in the W35 Kyoto, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eri Shimizu' if Eri Shimizu advances against Jia-Jing Lu. This market will resolve to 'Jia-Jing Lu' if Jia-Jing Lu advances against Eri Shimizu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Eri Shimizu and Jia-Jing Lu in the W35 Kyoto, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eri Shimizu' if Eri Shimizu advances against Jia-Jing Lu. This market will resolve to 'Jia-Jing Lu' if Jia-Jing Lu advances against Eri Shimizu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and insights. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market’s life, as prediction markets can incorporate information and analysis not immediately reflected in sportsbook lines. Comparing these odds can provide a more comprehensive view of the expected outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket and is not influenced by external factors or other exchanges.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Kyoto match between Eri Shimizu and Jia-Jing Lu. The platform will rely on publicly available and widely accepted sources to determine the winner, or if a draw occurs. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result and their holdings in the market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Sep 25, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift expectations. Significant media coverage or expert analysis predicting a particular outcome could also impact prices. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader shifts in public sentiment towards their performance, might also trigger movement. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the market and inform your trading strategy.