TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 11:50 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Selena Janicijevic and Adriana Reami in the W35 Kursumlijska Banja, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Selena Janicijevic' if Selena Janicijevic advances against Adriana Reami. This market will resolve to 'Adriana Reami' if Adriana Reami advances against Selena Janicijevic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Selena Janicijevic and Adriana Reami in the W35 Kursumlijska Banja, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Selena Janicijevic' if Selena Janicijevic advances against Adriana Reami. This market will resolve to 'Adriana Reami' if Adriana Reami advances against Selena Janicijevic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market relies on individuals freely trading and expressing their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the athletes' capabilities. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information, as they aren't constrained by the same operational factors as sportsbooks. Examining these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The market's efficiency depends on active participation and the availability of information, allowing the price to converge towards a reasonable estimate.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Kursumlijska Banja: Selena Janicijevic vs Adriana Reami match. Any official announcements regarding the match's completion and the declared winner will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome in this market. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches to understand how the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. News regarding player form, potential injuries to either Selena Janicijevic or Adriana Reami, or changes in playing conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match scheduling or venue changes might also have an impact. Furthermore, any significant analysis or commentary from sports analysts predicting the match's outcome could sway the market. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments will be crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market.