TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 5:45 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ksenia Zaytseva and Andrea Obradovic in the W35 Kursumlijska Banja, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ksenia Zaytseva' if Ksenia Zaytseva advances against Andrea Obradovic. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Obradovic' if Andrea Obradovic advances against Ksenia Zaytseva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ksenia Zaytseva and Andrea Obradovic in the W35 Kursumlijska Banja, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ksenia Zaytseva' if Ksenia Zaytseva advances against Andrea Obradovic. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Obradovic' if Andrea Obradovic advances against Ksenia Zaytseva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd and potentially incorporating information not yet priced into sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and profit margins, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on player form, injury risks, or even subtle factors influencing the match. Comparing the two can reveal where the market believes there is value or mispricing, offering potential opportunities for informed trading.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular player, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence in their victory. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand, with traders adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis of the match.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Ksenia Zaytseva versus Andrea Obradovic tennis match in Kursumlijska Banja. The player who wins the match, as declared by the official tournament organizers, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Any potential disputes or challenges to the official result will be addressed according to Polymarket’s standard resolution procedures.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the probabilities in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (such as weather), or updates on their recent performance could all cause significant movement. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or personal matters affecting either player could also impact the market. Even public sentiment, reflected in social media or expert analysis, can influence trader behavior and lead to price fluctuations as the match approaches.