TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 7:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Anastasija Cvetkovic and Siyun Xiao in the W35 Kursumlijska Banja, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anastasija Cvetkovic' if Anastasija Cvetkovic advances against Siyun Xiao. This market will resolve to 'Siyun Xiao' if Siyun Xiao advances against Anastasija Cvetkovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Anastasija Cvetkovic and Siyun Xiao in the W35 Kursumlijska Banja, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anastasija Cvetkovic' if Anastasija Cvetkovic advances against Siyun Xiao. This market will resolve to 'Siyun Xiao' if Siyun Xiao advances against Anastasija Cvetkovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individual predictions and sentiment. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. These differences can stem from varying levels of information, biases, or simply different interpretations of the same data. Analyzing both can provide a more comprehensive view of the expected outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will fluctuate, providing a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. The current price indicates the market’s collective expectation for the result of the Cvetkovic vs Xiao match.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Kursumlijska Banja match between Anastasija Cvetkovic and Siyun Xiao. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the tournament itself, such as scheduling changes or rule modifications, could also cause movement. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants or shifts in broader betting trends could trigger price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Sep 9, 2026.