TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 6:03 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Adriana Reami and Alexa Karatancheva in the W35 Kursumlijska Banja, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adriana Reami' if Adriana Reami advances against Alexa Karatancheva. This market will resolve to 'Alexa Karatancheva' if Alexa Karatancheva advances against Adriana Reami. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Adriana Reami and Alexa Karatancheva in the W35 Kursumlijska Banja, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adriana Reami' if Adriana Reami advances against Alexa Karatancheva. This market will resolve to 'Alexa Karatancheva' if Alexa Karatancheva advances against Adriana Reami. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows individuals to trade on their own informed opinions, leading to odds that may diverge from traditional sources if a significant number of participants hold a different view about the likely outcome of the match. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage or highlight unique insights.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the match. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of Adriana Reami winning, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy shares, the price increases, indicating a growing expectation of that outcome, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event's probability.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Adriana Reami versus Alexa Karatancheva tennis match in Kursumlijska Banja. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources, such as official tournament results and sports news outlets, to determine which outcome corresponds to the winning share and trigger payout.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player form, such as injury updates for either Adriana Reami or Alexa Karatancheva, could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather conditions at the Kursumlijska Banja tournament location, or even pre-match analysis from tennis experts, might also cause traders to reassess their positions. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks could also influence trading activity on Polymarket as users react to new information.