TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 8:56 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Olga Danilova and Julia Szczerek in the W35 Hurghada, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Olga Danilova' if Olga Danilova advances against Julia Szczerek. This market will resolve to 'Julia Szczerek' if Julia Szczerek advances against Olga Danilova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Olga Danilova and Julia Szczerek in the W35 Hurghada, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Olga Danilova' if Olga Danilova advances against Julia Szczerek. This market will resolve to 'Julia Szczerek' if Julia Szczerek advances against Olga Danilova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing a player's chances, the odds on Polymarket will adjust accordingly. It's common to see prediction markets converge towards what many consider the 'true' probability of an outcome, especially as the event approaches.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each player winning. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares of a particular player, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence in their victory. Conversely, selling pressure drives the price down. This dynamic process ensures that the market price reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Hurghada tennis match between Olga Danilova and Julia Szczerek, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The player who wins the match will be declared the winner of this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome and their holdings in the market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event, or even weather forecasts affecting the playing surface, might also cause fluctuations. Additionally, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket could create short-term price movements, as others react to their actions and adjust their own predictions.