TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 10:10 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Malkia Ngounoue and Aliesia Reva in the W35 Baza, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Malkia Ngounoue' if Malkia Ngounoue advances against Aliesia Reva. This market will resolve to 'Aliesia Reva' if Aliesia Reva advances against Malkia Ngounoue. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Malkia Ngounoue and Aliesia Reva in the W35 Baza, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Malkia Ngounoue' if Malkia Ngounoue advances against Aliesia Reva. This market will resolve to 'Aliesia Reva' if Aliesia Reva advances against Malkia Ngounoue. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their analysis and aim to balance betting action, while this market allows anyone to express their view, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources or varying levels of expertise among participants. It's common to see this market converge towards what many consider the 'true' probability as more information becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome will happen, the higher the price of its shares will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the crowd and adjusts in real-time based on new information and trading activity.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W35 Baza match between Malkia Ngounoue and Aliesia Reva. The platform will rely on publicly available and widely accepted sources to determine the winner of the match. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other related matches might also cause a reassessment of the players’ form and potential performance. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could create momentum and drive price fluctuations, reflecting a change in overall market confidence.