TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 10:36 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucia Llinares Domingo and Min Liu in the W35 Baza, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucia Llinares Domingo' if Lucia Llinares Domingo advances against Min Liu. This market will resolve to 'Min Liu' if Min Liu advances against Lucia Llinares Domingo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucia Llinares Domingo and Min Liu in the W35 Baza, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucia Llinares Domingo' if Lucia Llinares Domingo advances against Min Liu. This market will resolve to 'Min Liu' if Min Liu advances against Lucia Llinares Domingo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its shares will rise. Conversely, if sentiment shifts towards another outcome, its share price will increase while the first outcome’s price falls. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated predictions of all traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Lucia Llinares Domingo vs Min Liu match, as reported by a trusted source for professional tennis results. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result of the match. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Updates on the players’ recent performance in other tournaments, or analysis of their head-to-head record, might also impact the market. Unexpected weather forecasts for the match location could also play a role, as certain players may perform better in specific conditions. Overall, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning will likely cause the market to move.